Player Props, Locks, and Drops: Thursday Night Overs Week 8

I wish the World Series started one day later so we had something else to focus on rather than this game. Going into this game we have several questions and will probably not get answers. Is Brock really going to continue to look competent? Is this a real “revenge” game with Brock vs BOB and Lamar Miller vs the team that drafted him? Are the Texans legitimate or just hot right now? I don’t expect we will have answers tomorrow but we can still throw some props and hope they stick!

Following a push of a Monday Night where Matt Ryan and Calvin Ridley did exactly what we expected and Evan Engram (Easing back in/Eli was BAD) and Austin Hooper (return of Ridley and Sanu) did not.

Record: 16-12-1

Will Fuller Total Receiving Yards: Over 66.5

Fuller has been dogged by a hip injury for several weeks and finally got back in last week’s game to lead the team in receiving while tying Nuk Hopkins in targets. While Hopkins gets to square off against the likely shadow coverage of Xavien Howard, Fuller will draw Fins #2 Bobby McCain, a much slower and more beatable corner. Also, notable in this game is the absence of Keke Coutee. Fuller has proven to be noticeably more productive in games without Coutee putting up totals of 113 and 101 when he is inactive. If this game opens up early we could see the Texans give some relief to the banged up Deshaun Watson, but with a burner like Fuller 66.5 yards may not require double digit targets.

Danny Amendola/Kenyan Drake Total Receptions: Over 4.5 and Over 4

Nobody WANTS to trust Brock Osweiler, but in a game where his team is expected to be down, he is likely to have to throw. These plays are less votes of confidence in the Brocketship, but volume drivers. Lead receiver Kenny Stills is out. Big play deep threat Albert Wilson forced to IR. Frank Gore is not a threat out of the backfield. Where do Brock’s attempts go (other than the defense’s waiting arms)? Amendola is looking at a likely double digit target night as a safety blanket out of the slot. Since his receiving counterparts started missing time “Playoff ‘Dola” has had games of 6 and 8 receptions. Another likely recipient is running back Kenyan Drake who is not only more effective than Frank Gore on the ground but through the air. In the last three games, Drake has had games with 4, 4, and 7 receptions. Add on the mention by coach Adam Gase that Kenyan Drake may be forced into some WR snaps and I see him and Amendola both heavily involved to give the Dolphins a fighting chance.

Other Leans:

Lamar Miller O68.5 Rushing Yards – Could see a commitment to the run with a likely lead, separated himself from Alfred Blue last week, rushing defense with a habit of allowing 100 yard rushers, and a revenge game.

Brock Osweiler Will He Throw an Interception YES – Vegas thinks this is pretty likely too (-240), JJ Watt, Jadaveon Clowney, and Co. should apply plenty of pressure.

Kenyan Drake O28.5 Receiving Yards – See above for support on Drake’s likely usage in the passing game, should clearly outsnap and touch Gore.

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