Welcome back to the Slippery Noodle where we will be cooking up some of the hottest, spiciest DFS advice on the internet streets. The idea of this article is to deliver compelling DFS advice to ultimately help you find some ideal targets to add to your lineups, and help put some money into your FanDuel account instead of seeing it bleed out week by week. These articles will be constructed to help you place in tournaments, not 50/50’s or cash games. For those new to DFS, I will break down the difference between the two in a later post. I will identify a few Slippery Noodles, aka guys to stick in your lineup that will be low owned and give you a chance to steal some points. Let’s kick things off by taking a look at some Week 6 targets that could help push you to the top of the leader boards.
Andy Dalton, $7,500
At QB this week we travel to the land of gross, soppy chili. The Bengals take on their heated rival the Pittsburgh Steelers in a fairly important week 6 game. The Bengals are coming in hot at the top of the division at 4-1, and the Steelers are pulling up the rear at a sluggish 2-2-1. For the Steelers, a win in this game would be big for their hopes of entering themselves back in the conversation for the division title. For the Bengals, they look to play a game of keep-away and extend their lead in the AFC North. These teams hate each other, and the game is of significant importance. To me, that spells points. The over/under for this game is sitting at 53, which means Vegas is in agreement here. I am going with the Red Rocket with my pick at quarterback for a few reasons. Reason 1 – with the over/under sitting at 57.5 in the Falcons/Bucs shootout of the week, I think A TON of ownership will be on Matt Ryan as the safe play, and Jameis as the (not so) sneaky play. Both Big Ben and Dalton will be fairly low-owned for the upside that they both have in this game. Reason 2 – let’s put the glasses on and get a little statistical. The Steelers defense is letting up 320 passing yards/game and 2.6 passing TDs/game through 5 games this season. This is not the same Steelers defense that we are all used to seeing over the past decade, and I think that fear factor will scare a lot of the fish off of Dalton. Reason 3 – another little nugget for you; the Steelers are letting up 26.1 Fanduel points/game to opposing quarterbacks through their first 5 games, good for second worst in the league. SLIPPERY STAT ALERT. Dalton is quietly putting together a nice start to the season, and as long as the Steelers don’t come gunning for his legs in the first quarter, I think he is a good guy to build around in this match up at this price.
Chris Carson, $6,400
Let’s head across the pond and take a look at this weeks pick at running back. The Seahawks and Raiders travel to London for what should be a riveting, stupendous game of gridiron. As the NFL tries to build their fan base in England, it really is important that they send some of their best teams to showcase the great talent that we have to the nice people there. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯. Anyway, I do think that Carson is a solid play here at his price point. For $1,100 cheaper than David Johnson at Minnesota, and $1,700 cheaper than Zeke vs the Jags, you get Carson going against a broken Raiders team that is allowing 110 rushing yards/game. There is some concern with Mike Davis now in the mix, but I think Carson is the still the bell-cow back coming off 2 100+ yard games in his last 2 games played. We’ve all seen these London games. They are early, they are sloppy, and all of the fans wear the most random NFL jerseys and look like they are having the time of their life. Usually, the first two things equate to lots of carries. Going with Carson here gives you some solid upside and enough cash to lock in your studs.
Chester Rogers, $5,700
This pick is all about volume. T.Y. Hilton and Jack Doyle are sitting out again on Sunday, which means Andrew Luck’s 49 pass attempts/game are going to have to go somewhere. Rogers has 11 targets and 8 catches in each of his past 2 games, and I expect that target share to continue against the Jets. I think Rogers is a good dart throw that could help you leap up the standings if he can turn some of those receptions into touchdowns. He also returns punts which gives you an extra chance for points if he can break one off.
Trey Burton, $5,800
Puke everywhere. There are legitimately no great options on the main slate at tight end this week, so I think the strategy is to fade the chalk and zig while everyone else zags. Maybe we’ll get lucky. I think the chalk plays for this week are Ebron, Brate and Hooper. Again, puke city. I’m targeting Burton here because I actually think that while the Bears are a hot pick this week, Trubisky might struggle against the Dolphins. Typically when this happens, tight ends see an uptick in volume. Burton also has TD’s in 2 of his last 3 games, so I’m willing to pay up slightly to get a solid pass catcher who should be pretty low owned.
Minnesota Vikings, $4,600
The Vikings defense was hyped up all off-season to be the best in the league this year. After 5 weeks of play, they rank 21st in the league in total defense. Not great. But, they do get a sad Cardinals team at home this week and the slow start could actually work in our favor. I expect the ownership to be mostly on the Jags, Bears, Ravens and Texans this week. The Vikings are riding high after a big win against the Eagles on the road, and while normally I’d expect a team in this position to lay an egg in this game, they have no more eggs to lay after the Buffalo debacle and I think they show up for this one.
I hope everyone enjoyed their visit to the Slippery Noodle this week, and leaves feeling full and rich.